The value of electricity storage arbitrage on day-ahead markets
This paper investigates the historical value of electricity storage from the perspective of the storage owner in day-ahead markets (DAM) across Europe. A technology-neutral
The mean annual Norwegian power price from the Monte Carlo simulations is estimated to be 39 ± 4 €/MWh and long-term price levels below 23 €/MWh or above 50 €/MWh seem highly unlikely in an average weather year.
However, growth assumes that electricity prices are low enough. Without new Norwegian electricity production, excluding the projects that are currently under development, high electricity prices will practically limit consumption growth to an estimated 25-30 TWh.
The market value of Norwegian hydropower is driven by the same parameters as the average Norwegian electricity prices, which is unsurprising since hydropower represents approximately 75% of the total Norwegian electricity production. The average market value for onshore wind in Norway is 32 ± 4 €/MWh, corresponding to a value factor of 0.80.
Increased carbon prices cause an increase in the cost of importing electricity, as well as increased export of flexible Norwegian hydropower. This increases the value of transmission lines, but it also increases the Norwegian power prices. 3.2.4.
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